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6

King's River

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 6 · OR 92

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Colonial Downs 09/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 88 par9/08C5OR 88C7 @ Colonial Downs 21/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark21/08/2025 · OR 90 parC0 @ Colonial Downs 13/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11813/09C?C7 @ Laurel Park 11/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 123C5 @ Laurel Park 25/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 92 par25/10C5OR 92C7 @ Churchill Downs 15/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 95 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 95 parC6 @ Laurel Park 30/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 1m110y 126 · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 89 par30/11C6OR 89C6 @ Laurel Park 17/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark17/04/2026 · OR 90 parC6 @ Laurel Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 90 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 90 par21/06C6OR 90projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-21Laurel Park?7th7th0
2026-04-17Laurel Park?6th6th0
2025-11-30Laurel Park?5th5th0
2025-11-15Churchill Downs?7th8th−1
2025-10-25Laurel Park?1st0th+1
2025-10-11Laurel Park?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0811/1030/1121/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 10-11 · tight 86/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20252nd16/116%86%+0.70
21/08/20254th20/10%50%+0.50
13/09/20254th20/10%50%+0.50
11/10/20252nd4/179%90%+0.11
25/10/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
15/11/20257th25/10%45%+0.45
30/11/20255th25/10%20%+0.20
17/04/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
21/06/20267th16/116%14%-0.02