11
Mccullough
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 100
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
61%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-03 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 72/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 27/12/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 12/03/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |