5
Tee At One
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 101
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#11
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength96%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/01/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |