4

Wicked Prankster

8yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 89

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Laurel Park 14/10/2023 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 100 · 1m1f Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2023 · OR 100 par14/10C5OR 100C6 @ Laurel Park 05/11/2023 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark05/11/2023 · OR 95 parC6 @ Laurel Park 21/04/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 101 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark21/04/2024 · OR 101 par21/04C6OR 101C6 @ Laurel Park 15/06/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 104 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark15/06/2024 · OR 104 parC6 @ Laurel Park 05/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark05/07/2024 · OR 102 par5/07C6OR 102C5 @ Laurel Park 18/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 99 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/08/2024 · OR 99 parC6 @ Colonial Downs 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 95 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 95 par23/07C6OR 95C5 @ Colonial Downs 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 88 parC6 @ Delaware Park 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 88 · 1m Sft 120 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 88 par28/08C6OR 88projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-08-15Colonial Downs?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-23Colonial Downs?5th5th0
2024-08-18Laurel Park?3rd2nd+1
2024-07-05Laurel Park?7th7th0
2024-06-15Laurel Park?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1015/0623/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength53%

Delivery trend +8.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/10/20231st2/189%100%+0.11
05/11/20232nd5/174%80%+0.06
21/04/20246th7/282%29%-0.53
15/06/20246th11/271%29%-0.42
05/07/20247th14/126%25%-0.01
18/08/20243rd12/137%50%+0.13
23/07/20265th33/10%33%+0.33
15/08/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
28/08/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46