Anna's Promise
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 5 · OR 95
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Twixt Stakes · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 02/05/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/06/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |