3
Dazzling Move
5yo Mare · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 97
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Twixt Stakes · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼2
Strength78%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 5th | +4 |
| 2026-01-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 0th | +4 |
| 2025-12-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 24/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 11/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |