8
Doctor Abbie
6yo Mare · 8-8 · Draw 8 · OR 95
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Twixt Stakes · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 6-9 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength13%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/2024 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 28/11/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 21/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 04/05/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 28/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |