2
Foxy Junior
6yo Mare · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 101
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Twixt Stakes · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 80/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2024 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 09/11/2024 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 14/06/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 08/08/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 06/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 82% | -0.12 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |