7

Sheilahs Warcloud
5yo Mare · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 97
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Twixt Stakes · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 80/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 09/11/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 28/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |