9
Waveless
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 99
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Twixt Stakes · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-01-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 58/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 11/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |