7

Zero Blitz
4yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 111
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Polynesian Stakes · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 48/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 29/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 57% | -0.36 |