12
Kaline De Cosse
6yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Francis-lucien Adam - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
93%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Reims | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 2-15 · tight 33/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 30/11/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 15/12/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 08/01/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/01/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 77% | +0.01 |
| 18/02/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 82% | -0.03 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |