2
Kanelle De Tillard
6yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Francis-lucien Adam - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#15
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 10-15 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 04/12/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 17/03/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 05/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/09/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |