14
Kapella Dairpet
6yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Francis-lucien Adam - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 5 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Vincennes | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 13-15 · tight 84/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 87% | +0.16 |
| 22/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 31/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.33 |
| 21/03/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 26/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 94% | +0.07 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 42% | -0.44 |