13
Kapella Vet
6yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Francis-lucien Adam - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#13
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Chatelaillon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Pontchateau | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 66/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 21/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 10/10/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |