8
Karolene D'etang
6yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Francis-lucien Adam - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength33%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Vincennes | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Pornichet | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 8-15 · tight 66/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 20/05/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 04/06/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 20/09/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 93% | +0.05 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/12/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 47% | -0.35 |
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 31/01/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |