4
Kellisia Girl
6yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Francis-lucien Adam - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Vincennes | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 12-15 · tight 81/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 26/11/2025 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 13/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/03/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 17/03/2026 | 9th | 6/5 | 94% | 47% | -0.47 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |