2
Ikitori
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gerard Et Patrick Mottier - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#13
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Vincennes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength29%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 42% | -0.37 |
| 24/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 06/02/2026 | 12th | 11/4 | 86% | 27% | -0.59 |
| 17/02/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 8% | -0.39 |
| 23/04/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |