8
Impact Player
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gerard Et Patrick Mottier - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Reims | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Enghien | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Feurs | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 61/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 11/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 78% | -0.18 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 58% | -0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |