4
Install D'alouette
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gerard Et Patrick Mottier - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength26%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 30/03/2025 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 94% | -0.01 |
| 05/12/2025 | 16th | 11/2 | 71% | 6% | -0.65 |
| 18/02/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 59% | +0.43 |
| 17/04/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/07/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.25 |
| 25/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |