5
Jaspe Du Dollar
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gerard Et Patrick Mottier - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vichy | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 25/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.07 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 14/04/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 47% | -0.27 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 18/05/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 23% | -0.37 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |