10
Java Des Caillons
7yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gerard Et Patrick Mottier - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Cabourg | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Hyeres | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-10-18 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 13-13 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 04/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 93% | +0.01 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 76% | -0.13 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |