9

Joker D'olaine
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gerard Et Patrick Mottier - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength1%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Feurs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Caen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 11/01/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |
| 09/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.19 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 16/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |