3
Jugement D'ave
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gerard Et Patrick Mottier - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength17%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Amiens | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 75/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 23/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 06/07/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |