13
Juliana De Retz
7yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gerard Et Patrick Mottier - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-13 | Enghien | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-29 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-28 | Cholet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 3-12 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/04/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 12/04/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 15/01/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 27/01/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 10/04/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 94% | +0.52 |
| 28/04/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 13/03/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |