11
Jurilovca
7yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gerard Et Patrick Mottier - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-31 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-04 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 79/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength71%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2025 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 25/06/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/07/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/08/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 77% | -0.15 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |