12
Just A Couet
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Gerard Et Patrick Mottier - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Chartres | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-12 | Nantes | 6 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 43/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 27/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 12/01/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 24/03/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 17/06/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |