1
L'amour D'etang
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Alphonse Gouabau - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 7-16 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength31%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 12/01/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 15/09/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 01/11/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 73% | -0.19 |
| 06/01/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |