2
L'idealiste
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Alphonse Gouabau - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#14
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Nantes | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 18/02/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 25/09/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |