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15

Le Poete Bourbon

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Laval · Prix Alphonse Gouabau - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#11

Rank

Odds

75/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pontchateau 16/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 016/04C?C0 @ Laval 04/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 25/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/08C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 05/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 14/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 014/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Caen 03/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 03/05C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 15/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 015/09C?projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-08-14Cabourg40
2026-07-24Cabourg40
2026-06-30Le Mont-Saint-Michel?1st1st0
2026-05-03Caen?10th10th0
2025-12-21Pontchateau?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/045/093/0515/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20256th66/10%62%+0.62
04/06/20255th33/10%69%+0.69
25/08/20258th100/10%36%+0.36
05/09/20255th12/137%69%+0.32
14/10/20257th50/10%57%+0.57
14/11/20258th80/10%46%+0.46
03/05/202610th80/10%18%+0.18
30/06/20261st50/10%100%+1.00
15/09/20266th17/255%55%-0.01