11

Leader
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Alphonse Gouabau - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-17 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Lisieux | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 13-16 · tight 82/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength6%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.07 |
| 05/07/2024 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 02/08/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 03/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 82% | -0.12 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 93% | -0.03 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |