11

Leader

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Laval · Prix Alphonse Gouabau - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#2

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chateaubriant 05/02/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 05/02C?C0 @ Cabourg 05/07/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 02/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 02/08C?C0 @ Lisieux 03/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Caen 17/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Hvy 017/09C?5 @ Lisieux 26/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 05 @ Meslay Du Maine 09/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 09/045C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/05C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-19Argentan?1st1st0
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?2nd2nd0
2026-04-09Meslay Du Maine51st2nd−1
2026-03-26Lisieux51st2nd−1
2025-09-17Caen?3rd3rd0
2025-07-03Lisieux?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/023/079/0419/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 13-16 · tight 82/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength6%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/02/20242nd11/486%92%+0.07
05/07/20244th10/382%57%-0.25
02/08/20243rd4/179%82%+0.03
03/07/20253rd9/276%88%+0.11
17/09/20253rd6/594%82%-0.12
26/03/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
09/04/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
22/04/20262nd4/696%93%-0.03
19/05/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04