14
Let It Snow
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Alphonse Gouabau - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Vincennes | 3 | +1 | ||
| 2026-02-07 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 8-16 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 08/03/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 15/06/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 08/07/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 69% | -0.18 |
| 24/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |
| 21/12/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |