7
Live Your Dreams
5yo Colt · 0-0
Laval · Prix Alphonse Gouabau - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#13
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 4 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 5-13 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 11th | 200/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/02/2026 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/02/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/02/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 08/03/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 24/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 90% | -0.02 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |