16
Look Peji
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Alphonse Gouabau - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
86%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Argentan | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Saint-Malo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 78/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 03/11/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 17/03/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 70% | -0.14 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |