10
Lotus Madrik
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Alphonse Gouabau - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength9%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +9.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 27/04/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 03/07/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 17/07/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 31/07/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 77% | +0.35 |
| 15/01/2026 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 58% | -0.36 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |