9

Luxor D'auvillier
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Alphonse Gouabau - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#15
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Chatelaillon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 2-13 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 28/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 25/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 15/09/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |