11
Major Du Belver
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Horserail France / Clotures Concept - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
96%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Chatelaillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Pornichet | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 3-13 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -23.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |