2
Manouche
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Horserail France / Clotures Concept - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Laval | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chartres | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laval | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 30/04/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 20/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 11/06/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 47% | -0.32 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/09/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |