5
Matrix De La Baie
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Horserail France / Clotures Concept - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Les Sables | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | 6 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Vire | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 35/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 77% | +0.35 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 100/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 17/03/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |