8
Mercato Des Forges
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Laval · Prix Horserail France / Clotures Concept - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Les Sables | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-06 | Pontchateau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-12 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 51/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +16.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |
| 26/08/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |