7
Marbella Smart
4yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Ivan Lambertz - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-04 | Les Sables | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Les Sables | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-24 | Saint-Malo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 2-16 · tight 31/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.32 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |