14
Melodisyva
4yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Ivan Lambertz - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#13
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Argentan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 3-16 · tight 39/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength32%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 09/02/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 22% | -0.49 |
| 13/04/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |