4
Melrose Des Vaux
4yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Ivan Lambertz - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 10/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 27/05/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 87% | +0.29 |