16

My Charming
4yo Filly · 0-0
Laval · Prix Ivan Lambertz - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
75/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-10 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laval | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 07/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |