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13

Nectar De Larre

3yo Gelding · 0-0

Laval · Prix Philippe Et Gilles Baudron - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#1

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

14%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Nantes 25/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f67y Std 025/016C0 @ Graignes 02/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 02/02C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 16/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f13y Std 016/03C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-16Mauquenchy?8th8th0
2026-02-12Mauquenchy50
2026-02-02Graignes?2nd2nd0
2026-01-25Nantes64th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/012/0216/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-16 · tight 19/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength73%

Delivery trend +14.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20264th17/255%63%+0.07
02/02/20262nd33/10%89%+0.89
16/03/20268th40/10%36%+0.36