15
Meraru Quando
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Laval · Prix Gabriel Et Robert Sandrin - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 6 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 6-17 · tight 53/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |
| 15/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |