4
Milton Ellis
4yo Gelding · 9-10
Laval · Prix Gabriel Et Robert Sandrin - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#12
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Laval | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-06 | Graignes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-12 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1725% of fieldRange 8-17 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -11.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 25/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |