15
Jalna Du Gers
7yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Loic Bellanger - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 7
Class gap: +7.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-03 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-15 | Laval | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Les Sables | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-24 | Pornichet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-03-14 | Enghien | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 60/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength90%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2024 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 26/04/2024 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/06/2024 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/06/2024 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 14/03/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 24/07/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 15/09/2025 | 12th | 3/1 | 84% | 21% | -0.63 |
| 03/10/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |