16

Joyce Dream

7yo Mare · 0-0

Laval · Prix Loic Bellanger - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength39%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 7
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 09/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 09/10C?C0 @ Cabourg 25/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 25/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 025/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 07/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05 @ Vire 01/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS1/0356 @ Lisieux 14/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS6 @ Caen 18/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS18/0666 @ Lisieux 02/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 028/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Meslay Du Maine?3rd3rd0
2026-07-02Lisieux69th8th+1
2026-06-18Caen68th7th+1
2026-03-14Lisieux610th9th+1
2026-03-01Vire510th8th+2
2025-12-07Vincennes?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/107/1218/0628/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength50%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/10/20256th7/282%64%-0.17
25/10/20253rd6/594%85%-0.09
25/11/20257th25/10%57%+0.57
07/12/202510th33/10%36%+0.36
01/03/202610th40/10%47%+0.47
14/03/202610th10/147%40%-0.07
18/06/20268th25/10%50%+0.50
02/07/20269th33/10%47%+0.47
28/07/20263rd3/184%78%-0.06