13
Joyce Mika
7yo Mare · 0-0
Laval · Prix Loic Bellanger - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#14
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.5
Today: 7
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | 6 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 7 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-06-17 | Cavaillon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Caen | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-04-29 | Graignes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-17 | Enghien | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 10-16 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2024 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 30/07/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/08/2024 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 28/09/2024 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 17/04/2025 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 31/05/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/06/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 28/03/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |